Data Visualizations

Satellite Imagery

Can free satellite radar and optical imagery confirm a single airstrike’s damage? Ras Isa oil terminal, Yemen (11–23 April 2025)
Optical + SAR VV/VH before/after composite · From: The war-risk screen

What does a naive SAR change-detection scan actually return? Ras Isa oil terminal, Yemen (11–23 April 2025)
Raw damage-proxy heuristic across the full AOI · From: The war-risk screen

Animated

Does conflict track opium cultivation or transit routes? North Shan (2018–2025)
Fatality-scaled hex grid animation · From: Conflict, opium & territorial control in North Shan

Where does violence concentrate relative to infrastructure? South Kivu (2018–2024)
Fatality-scaled event map · From: Conflict, deforestation & mining in South Kivu

Maps

Where do mineral extraction sites overlap with conflict? South Kivu (2013–2024)
Aggregated event density + extraction sites · From: Conflict, deforestation & mining in South Kivu

Does road proximity predict cartel violence? Michoacán & Guerrero (2018–2025)
Binned proximity analysis · From: Infrastructure of violence in Michoacán & Guerrero

How do international transit routes mediate conflict exposure? East Africa
Corridor mapping · From: Conflict, deforestation & mining in South Kivu

Does deforestation co-locate with conflict intensity? South Kivu (2018–2024)
Bivariate spatial analysis · From: Conflict, deforestation & mining in South Kivu

Charts

How did conflict tactics shift after the 2021 coup? North Shan (2018–2025)
Disaggregated event type over time · From: Conflict, opium & territorial control in North Shan

Did military and opposition ordnance lethality diverge post-coup? North Shan (2022–2025)
Stacked bar + fatality rate by actor · From: Conflict, opium & territorial control in North Shan

How do cartel rivalries structure violence networks? Michoacán & Guerrero (2018–2025)
Directional actor network · From: Infrastructure of violence in Michoacán & Guerrero

Does land degradation concentrate near refugee camps, or near the road? Cameroon-CAR border corridor
Distance-decay analysis, N10 highway vs. Gado/Lolo camps · From: Displacement & land pressure in Cameroon-CAR borderlands

Do rainfall reversals predict land-conversion reversals? N10 corridor and Lolo camp (2018–2025)
Process-tracing timing diagnostic · From: Displacement & land pressure in Cameroon-CAR borderlands

Models

How well do Monte Carlo and logistic regression predict conflict intensity? South Kivu (2018-2024)
Side-by-side model comparison · From: Conflict, deforestation & mining in South Kivu

Does road proximity amplify mine proximity’s effect on conflict risk? South Kivu (2018-2024)
GAM interaction term · From: Conflict, deforestation & mining in South Kivu

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